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New Data: Senate is Out of Reach in 2020 Unless Democrats Win Back Rural Voters


July 29, 2019

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New Data: Senate is Out of Reach in 2020 Unless Democrats Win Back Rural Voters

WASHINGTON, D.C.  One Country Project (OCP) today released new, original data showing the correlation between Presidential and Senate election outcomes, proving the Democratic road to victory is contingent upon rural support. Despite Republicans defending 22 seats, weak rural performance could doom Democrats in 2020 and beyond.

“Our data shows that Republicans have a 40 seat, built-in base in the Senate, meaning unless we do a better job engaging rural Americans, Republicans will have a massive head start in every race for a Senate majority and a lock on enough seats to stand in the way of a Democratic president’s agenda. If nothing changes, Democrats will never have more than a hope and a prayer of eking out a slim Senate majority – at best,” said founding board member and former North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp. “Voters are not connecting with Democrats and we risk being stuck in the minority for decades to come if we do not re-open the dialogue with Americans who live in the countryside and small towns across every region.”

OCP’s Findings:

Get a closer look at the graphs and data in the full deck here.


About One Country Project  

The One Country Project, led by former Senators Heidi Heitkamp and Joe Donnelly, is working to promote greater opportunities for rural communities and ensure leaders earn their support. One Country is reengaging with rural Americans, serving as a clearinghouse of research and information for rural Americans, and working to ensure leaders regain trust by fighting for these communities. To learn more, visit the website, OneCountryProject.org. 

Posted on July 29, 2019 in Press Releases.
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